Marshall: 2026 Week 11 recap

Marshall sits at 5–3 with a rating of −10.7, holding rank 111 nationally. The Thundering Herd's most recent action came in Week 9, when they traveled to Old Dominion and secured a 36–23 win—a solid road result that kept their season afloat. Their rating hasn't shifted since, suggesting GIE views that performance as consistent with their broader body of work. The underlying numbers reveal some friction: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 11% signals significant inefficiency in the most critical moments, while a third-down conversion rate of 34% compounds the problem. On the positive side, their late-game leverage performance of 6.36 hints they've managed close situations reasonably well. With an expected win total around 7.5, Marshall is tracking toward a modest bowl-eligible finish. Up next is a road trip to Georgia Southern in Week 10—another Sun Belt matchup that will test whether they can sustain their recent momentum.