Sam Houston: 2026 Week 7 recap

Sam Houston sits at 1–3 with a rating of −14.1, ranked 117th by GIE, and hasn't moved in the model's assessment over the past week. The Bearkats' most recent outing—a 49–14 road loss to Texas Tech in Week 4—underscored a troubling offensive ceiling. That red-zone TD rate of 14% tells the story: when Sam Houston gets close, it stalls. Third-down conversion sits at 22%, a recipe for stalled drives and short fields. GIE projects them to win 4.8 games this season and assigns a 0% playoff probability. Next up is a trip to Liberty on October 8th—a matchup that'll test whether the Bearkats can generate any sustained momentum before the season slips further out of reach.