East Carolina at Alabama
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 East Carolina | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
 Alabama Winner | 10 | 28 | 0 | 10 | 48 |
GIE pre-game call: Alabama at 98%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
East Carolina 2% Underdog
Alabama 98% Favorite
Alabama is the model's favorite at 98%. East Carolina has a 2% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.7 rating points baked in for Alabama — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- East Carolina recap East Carolina: 2026 Week 11 recap East Carolina sits at 4–4 after a 17–9 home win over Temple in Week 9, holding steady at rank 91 with a rating of –4. The Pirates' offensive execution remains inconsistent: a red-zone touchdown rate of just 15% explains much of their…
- Alabama recap Alabama: 2026 Week 11 recap Alabama sits at No. 7 with a 6–2 record and a GIE rating of 20.9, holding steady from last week. The Crimson Tide beat Texas A&M 31–20 in Week 8, but efficiency remains uneven: a red-zone TD rate of just 18.5% and a third-down conversion…