2026 Week 1
Missouri State at Texas A&M
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Kyle Field
Missouri State
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -19.1
- National rank
- 126
- Proj. wins
- 5.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas A&M
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.9
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 55%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Missouri State
1%
Texas A&M
99%
Texas A&M 90% CI: 99% – 100% Δ rating 40.0
Texas A&M is the model's favorite at 99%. Missouri State has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.0 rating points baked in for Texas A&M — venue-specific night-game value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Missouri State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas A&M offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
80°F
Precipitation
5%
Wind
6 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Kyle Field
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No