2026 Week 2
Ohio State at Texas
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
Ohio State
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 32.7
- National rank
- 1
- Proj. wins
- 9.1
- Playoff prob.
- 99%
Texas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 22.8
- National rank
- 6
- Proj. wins
- 6.9
- Playoff prob.
- 15%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Ohio State
68%
Texas
32%
Texas 90% CI: 24% – 40% Δ rating 9.9
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 68%. Texas has a 32% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Texas — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Ohio State offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas offense
26 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Thunderstorm
Temperature
78°F
Precipitation
8%
Wind
7 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No