2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Arkansas at Texas A&M
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Kyle Field
Arkansas
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.6
- National rank
- 44
- Proj. wins
- 4.6
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas A&M
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.9
- National rank
- 9
- Proj. wins
- 8.5
- Playoff prob.
- 55%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arkansas
11%
Texas A&M
89%
Texas A&M 90% CI: 85% – 92% Δ rating 15.3
Texas A&M is the model's favorite at 89%. Arkansas has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Texas A&M — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arkansas offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas A&M offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Kyle Field
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No