Conference game
LSU at Tennessee
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
LSU 69% Favorite
Tennessee 31% Underdog
LSU is the model's favorite at 69%. Tennessee has a 31% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.8 rating points baked in for Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
LSU offense
Higher fit 41 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Tennessee offense
33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup