2026 Week 12 · Conference game
LSU at Tennessee
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Neyland Stadium
LSU
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 20.4
- National rank
- 10
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Tennessee
SEC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 17.3
- National rank
- 14
- Proj. wins
- 7.3
- Playoff prob.
- 10%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
LSU
59%
Tennessee
41%
Tennessee 90% CI: 32% – 50% Δ rating 3.1
LSU is the model's favorite at 59%. Tennessee has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.2 rating points baked in for Tennessee — venue-specific learned value (n=61 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
LSU offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Tennessee offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Neyland Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No