Conference game
LSU at Arkansas
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
LSU 97% Favorite
Arkansas 3% Underdog
LSU is the model's favorite at 97%. Arkansas has a 3% path. Home-field adjustment of +-1.9 rating points baked in for Arkansas — venue-specific learned value (n=52 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
LSU offense
Higher fit 48 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Arkansas offense
33 / 100 Style-neutral matchup