2026 Week 1
Boston College at Cincinnati
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Nippert Stadium
Boston College
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -2.5
- National rank
- 82
- Proj. wins
- 3.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Cincinnati
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.0
- National rank
- 59
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Boston College
27%
Cincinnati
73%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 65% – 80% Δ rating 5.5
Cincinnati is the model's favorite at 73%. Boston College has a 27% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Boston College offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Cincinnati offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Clear
Temperature
81°F
Precipitation
36%
Wind
7 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Nippert Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No