BYU at Colorado State
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 7:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BYU Winner | 21 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 41 |
 Colorado State | 7 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 23 |
GIE pre-game call: BYU at 95%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
BYU 95% Favorite
Colorado State 5% Underdog
BYU is the model's favorite at 95%. Colorado State has a 5% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Colorado State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Colorado State recap Colorado State: 2026 Week 3 recap Colorado State sits at 1–0 after a dominant 35–13 win over Wyoming in Week 1, though GIE's rating remains flat at –11.6, placing them 105th nationally. The Rams' red-zone efficiency—a concerning 21%—suggests they're leaving points on the…
- BYU recap BYU: 2026 Week 3 recap BYU sits at 21st in GIE's rankings with a 1–0 record after a dominant 63–7 win over Utah Tech in Week 1. The rating hasn't budged—14.9 stays 14.9—which signals the model sees the blowout as expected rather than revelatory. Red-zone…