2026 Week 3
BYU at Colorado State
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Canvas Stadium
BYU
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 14.9
- National rank
- 21
- Proj. wins
- 8.2
- Playoff prob.
- 17%
Colorado State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
BYU
96%
Colorado State
4%
Colorado State 90% CI: 3% – 6% Δ rating 26.5
BYU is the model's favorite at 96%. Colorado State has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Colorado State — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
BYU offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Colorado State offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Canvas Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No