Miami (OH) at Cincinnati
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Miami (OH) | 14 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 31 |
 Cincinnati Winner | 7 | 0 | 14 | 14 | 35 |
GIE pre-game call: Cincinnati at 82%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Miami (OH) 18% Underdog
Cincinnati 82% Favorite
Cincinnati is the model's favorite at 82%. Miami (OH) has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=1 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Miami (OH) recap Miami (OH): 2026 Week 3 recap Miami (OH) sits at 0–1 after a brutal 59–14 road loss to Pittsburgh in Week 1, holding a rating of –4 and ranking 85th per GIE. The rating hasn't budged week-over-week, a concerning sign given the Redhawks face an immediate test at home…
- Cincinnati recap Cincinnati: 2026 Week 3 recap Cincinnati opened with a 34–15 win over Boston College and holds steady at rank 59 overall. GIE's rating hasn't shifted—the Bearcats remain at a 3, suggesting the opener, while decisive, landed within pre-season expectations. The red-zone…