2026 Week 5
Middle Tennessee at Kansas
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Memorial Stadium
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -26.5
- National rank
- 135
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Kansas
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.3
- National rank
- 58
- Proj. wins
- 6.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Middle Tennessee
1%
Kansas
99%
Kansas 90% CI: 98% – 99% Δ rating 29.8
Kansas is the model's favorite at 99%. Middle Tennessee has a 1% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.7 rating points baked in for Kansas — venue-specific learned value (n=48 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Middle Tennessee offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Kansas offense
40 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Memorial Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No