2026 Week 7 · Conference game
Arizona State at Texas Tech
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Jones AT&T Stadium
Arizona State
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 4.9
- National rank
- 51
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 21.8
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 10.7
- Playoff prob.
- 98%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Arizona State
8%
Texas Tech
92%
Texas Tech 90% CI: 89% – 95% Δ rating 16.9
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 92%. Arizona State has a 8% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.9 rating points baked in for Texas Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Arizona State offense
23 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Texas Tech offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Jones AT&T Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No