2026 Week 8 · Conference game
Texas Tech at Cincinnati
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Nippert Stadium
Texas Tech
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 21.8
- National rank
- 8
- Proj. wins
- 10.7
- Playoff prob.
- 98%
Cincinnati
Big 12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.0
- National rank
- 59
- Proj. wins
- 5.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Texas Tech
89%
Cincinnati
11%
Cincinnati 90% CI: 8% – 16% Δ rating 18.8
Texas Tech is the model's favorite at 89%. Cincinnati has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Cincinnati — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Texas Tech offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Cincinnati offense
23 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Nippert Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No