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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

UCF at Colorado

Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Folsom Field

UCF
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
1.7
National rank
63
Proj. wins
5.7
Playoff prob.
0%
Colorado
Big 12
Record
0-0
Rating
0.7
National rank
65
Proj. wins
3.2
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

UCF
30%
Colorado
70%
Colorado 90% CI: 62% – 78% Δ rating 1.0

Colorado is the model's favorite at 70%. UCF has a 30% path. Home-field adjustment of +7.9 rating points baked in for Colorado — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

UCF offense
43 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Colorado offense
33 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Folsom Field
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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