Conference game
Cincinnati at BYU
Saturday, November 28, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Cincinnati 17% Underdog
BYU 83% Favorite
BYU is the model's favorite at 83%. Cincinnati has a 17% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for BYU — venue-specific learned value (n=51 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Cincinnati offense
35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
BYU offense
Higher fit 36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup