Conference game
NC State at Virginia
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NC State | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
 Virginia Winner | 10 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: Virginia at 76%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
NC State 24% Underdog
Virginia 76% Favorite
Virginia is the model's favorite at 76%. NC State has a 24% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=53 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.