2026 Week 1 FINAL · Conference game
NC State at Virginia
Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Scott Stadium
8
NC State
Final
34
Virginia
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC State | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 8 |
| Virginia | 10 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 34 |
GIE pre-game call: Virginia at 65%. Hit.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.
NC State
ACC
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- 5.7
- National rank
- 43
- Proj. wins
- 6.1
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Virginia
ACC
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 8.1
- National rank
- 37
- Proj. wins
- 9.0
- Playoff prob.
- 13%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
NC State
35%
Virginia
65%
Virginia 90% CI: 56% – 73% Δ rating 2.4
Virginia is the model's favorite at 65%. NC State has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Virginia — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, August 29, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Scott Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No