2026 Week 1
Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC
Acrisure Stadium
Miami (OH)
Mid-American
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -4.0
- National rank
- 85
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Miami (OH)
18%
Pittsburgh
82%
Pittsburgh 90% CI: 75% – 87% Δ rating 10.2
Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 82%. Miami (OH) has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Pittsburgh — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami (OH) offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Pittsburgh offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
75°F
Precipitation
19%
Wind
4 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 4:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Acrisure Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No