Duke at Illinois
Saturday, September 12, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Duke Winner | 7 | 14 | 7 | 3 | 31 |
 Illinois | 10 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 27 |
GIE pre-game call: Duke at 50%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Duke 50% Favorite
Illinois 50% Underdog
Duke is the model's favorite at 50%. Illinois has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.1 rating points baked in for Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.