2026 Week 4 · Conference game
Wake Forest at Louisville
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
Wake Forest
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.4
- National rank
- 57
- Proj. wins
- 6.3
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
Louisville
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 11.1
- National rank
- 27
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 9%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Wake Forest
18%
Louisville
82%
Louisville 90% CI: 75% – 87% Δ rating 7.7
Louisville is the model's favorite at 82%. Wake Forest has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Louisville — venue-specific learned value (n=58 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Wake Forest offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Louisville offense
29 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No