Conference game
Virginia at Florida State
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 3:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Virginia | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
 Florida State Winner | 0 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 38 |
GIE pre-game call: Florida State at 59%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Virginia 41% Underdog
Florida State 59% Favorite
Florida State is the model's favorite at 59%. Virginia has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.0 rating points baked in for Florida State — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
Weekly recaps generate Monday morning. Check back for both teams' write-ups.