2026 Week 6 · Conference game
North Carolina at Pittsburgh
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Acrisure Stadium
North Carolina
ACC
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 3.5
- National rank
- 56
- Proj. wins
- 4.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Pittsburgh
ACC
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 6.2
- National rank
- 40
- Proj. wins
- 7.9
- Playoff prob.
- 3%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
North Carolina
36%
Pittsburgh
64%
Pittsburgh 90% CI: 55% – 72% Δ rating 2.7
Pittsburgh is the model's favorite at 64%. North Carolina has a 36% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.8 rating points baked in for Pittsburgh — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
North Carolina offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Pittsburgh offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Acrisure Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No