Ball State at Ohio State
Saturday, September 5, 2026 · 12:30 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ball State | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
 Ohio State Winner | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 56 |
GIE pre-game call: Ohio State at 100%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Ball State 0% Underdog
Ohio State 100% Favorite
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 100%. Ball State has a 0% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=63 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Ohio State recap Ohio State: 2026 Week 11 recap Ohio State holds the top rating at 28.6, but the 6-2 record and recent loss to USC (30-18 in Week 9) have complicated the path forward. The Buckeyes haven't moved in GIE's assessment week-to-week, suggesting the model sees last week's…
- Ball State recap Ball State: 2026 Week 11 recap Ball State sits at 3–5 after a dominant 34–17 home win over Sacramento State in Week 8, but the rating hasn't budged—a sign that GIE views the Cardinals as fundamentally limited despite the convincing result. The real problem shows up in…