2026 Week 4
Notre Dame at Purdue
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Ross-Ade Stadium
Notre Dame
FBS Independents
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 26.5
- National rank
- 3
- Proj. wins
- 10.1
- Playoff prob.
- 93%
Purdue
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -2.2
- National rank
- 78
- Proj. wins
- 3.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Notre Dame
96%
Purdue
4%
Purdue 90% CI: 3% – 5% Δ rating 28.7
Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 96%. Purdue has a 4% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Purdue — venue-specific learned value (n=59 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Notre Dame offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Purdue offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Ross-Ade Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No