2026 Week 8 · Conference game
USC at Wisconsin
Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Camp Randall Stadium
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 17.7
- National rank
- 12
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 19%
Wisconsin
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 3.8
- National rank
- 53
- Proj. wins
- 4.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
USC
81%
Wisconsin
19%
Wisconsin 90% CI: 14% – 25% Δ rating 13.9
USC is the model's favorite at 81%. Wisconsin has a 19% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.1 rating points baked in for Wisconsin — venue-specific learned value (n=63 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
USC offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Wisconsin offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 24, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Camp Randall Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No