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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Illinois at Maryland

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

SECU Stadium

Illinois
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
10.4
National rank
28
Proj. wins
7.6
Playoff prob.
4%
Maryland
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
5.2
National rank
47
Proj. wins
5.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Illinois
66%
Maryland
34%
Maryland 90% CI: 26% – 43% Δ rating 5.2

Illinois is the model's favorite at 66%. Maryland has a 34% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.2 rating points baked in for Maryland — venue-specific learned value (n=54 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Illinois offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Maryland offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
SECU Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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