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2026 Week 9 · Conference game

Michigan at Rutgers

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

SHI Stadium

Michigan
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
17.0
National rank
15
Proj. wins
6.7
Playoff prob.
2%
Rutgers
Big Ten
Record
0-0
Rating
2.7
National rank
61
Proj. wins
5.5
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Michigan
82%
Rutgers
18%
Rutgers 90% CI: 13% – 24% Δ rating 14.3

Michigan is the model's favorite at 82%. Rutgers has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.0 rating points baked in for Rutgers — venue-specific learned value (n=33 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Michigan offense
55 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Rutgers offense
32 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
SHI Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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