Conference game
Oregon at Ohio State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 3:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Oregon 13% Underdog
Ohio State 87% Favorite
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 87%. Oregon has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=63 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Oregon offense
25 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Ohio State offense
Higher fit 29 / 100 Style-neutral matchup