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Conference game

Rutgers at Wisconsin

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 4:15 PM EST

GIE win probability

Rutgers 12% Underdog
Wisconsin 88% Favorite
Wisconsin 90% CI
84–92%
Δ rating
Wisconsin +13.6

Wisconsin is the model's favorite at 88%. Rutgers has a 12% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.6 rating points baked in for Wisconsin — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Rutgers offense 35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Wisconsin offense Higher fit 55 / 100 Style-neutral matchup