Conference game
Northwestern at Ohio State
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Northwestern 9% Underdog
Ohio State 91% Favorite
Ohio State is the model's favorite at 91%. Northwestern has a 9% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.3 rating points baked in for Ohio State — venue-specific learned value (n=63 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northwestern offense
26 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Ohio State offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup