2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Michigan at Oregon
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Autzen Stadium
Michigan
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 17.0
- National rank
- 15
- Proj. wins
- 6.7
- Playoff prob.
- 2%
Oregon
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 29.2
- National rank
- 2
- Proj. wins
- 9.3
- Playoff prob.
- 92%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Michigan
14%
Oregon
86%
Oregon 90% CI: 81% – 90% Δ rating 12.2
Oregon is the model's favorite at 86%. Michigan has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.4 rating points baked in for Oregon — venue-specific learned value (n=55 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Michigan offense
27 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Oregon offense
32 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Autzen Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No