2026 Week 11 · Conference game
Illinois at UCLA
Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
Rose Bowl
Illinois
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 10.4
- National rank
- 28
- Proj. wins
- 7.6
- Playoff prob.
- 4%
UCLA
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.4
- National rank
- 46
- Proj. wins
- 3.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Illinois
59%
UCLA
41%
UCLA 90% CI: 33% – 51% Δ rating 5.0
Illinois is the model's favorite at 59%. UCLA has a 41% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.2 rating points baked in for UCLA — venue-specific learned value (n=60 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Illinois offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UCLA offense
34 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 14, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Rose Bowl
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No