Conference game
Wisconsin at Purdue
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Wisconsin 65% Favorite
Purdue 35% Underdog
Wisconsin is the model's favorite at 65%. Purdue has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Purdue — venue-specific learned value (n=57 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Wisconsin offense
Higher fit 44 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Purdue offense
36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup