2026 Week 12 · Conference game
Maryland at USC
Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
Maryland
Big Ten
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.2
- National rank
- 47
- Proj. wins
- 5.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
USC
Big Ten
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- 17.7
- National rank
- 12
- Proj. wins
- 7.8
- Playoff prob.
- 19%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Maryland
13%
USC
87%
USC 90% CI: 82% – 91% Δ rating 12.5
USC is the model's favorite at 87%. Maryland has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for USC — venue-specific learned value (n=62 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Maryland offense
41 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
USC offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 21, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No