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2026 Week 9 · Neutral site

Notre Dame at Navy

Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC

Gillette Stadium

Notre Dame
FBS Independents
Record
0-0
Rating
26.5
National rank
3
Proj. wins
10.1
Playoff prob.
93%
Navy
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
1.2
National rank
64
Proj. wins
7.5
Playoff prob.
1%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Notre Dame
96%
Navy
4%
Navy 90% CI: 3% – 6% Δ rating 25.3

Notre Dame is the model's favorite at 96%. Navy has a 4% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Notre Dame offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Navy offense
19 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 31, 2026 · 4:00 PM UTC
Venue
Gillette Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
Yes
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