2026 Week 10 · Conference game
Boise State at Colorado State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
Canvas Stadium
Boise State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- 5.1
- National rank
- 49
- Proj. wins
- 5.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Colorado State
Pac-12
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -11.6
- National rank
- 105
- Proj. wins
- 2.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Boise State
87%
Colorado State
13%
Colorado State 90% CI: 9% – 17% Δ rating 16.7
Boise State is the model's favorite at 87%. Colorado State has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Colorado State — venue-specific learned value (n=43 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Boise State offense
42 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Colorado State offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 11:00 PM UTC
- Venue
- Canvas Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No