Conference game
Boise State at Colorado State
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 6:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Boise State 90% Favorite
Colorado State 10% Underdog
Boise State is the model's favorite at 90%. Colorado State has a 10% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Colorado State — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Boise State offense
Higher fit 42 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Colorado State offense
39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup