East Carolina at Old Dominion
Saturday, September 19, 2026 · 6:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 East Carolina Winner | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 20 |
 Old Dominion | 0 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 17 |
GIE pre-game call: East Carolina at 65%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
East Carolina 65% Favorite
Old Dominion 35% Underdog
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 65%. Old Dominion has a 35% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.6 rating points baked in for Old Dominion — venue-specific night-game value (n=46 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Recaps
- Old Dominion recap Old Dominion: 2026 Week 3 recap Old Dominion sits at 1–0 after dispatching Norfolk State 31–10 in Week 1, though GIE's rating of –6.9 reflects a program still operating well below the FBS median. The Monarchs' efficiency metrics reveal structural weaknesses: a red-zone…
- East Carolina recap East Carolina: 2026 Week 3 recap East Carolina sits at 79th overall with a 0–1 record after a 48–10 loss to Alabama in Week 1—a deficit that hasn't budged the needle on GIE's rating, holding steady at −2.3. The disparity tells the story: the Pirates managed just a 15%…