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2026 Week 4

Southern Miss at Tulane

Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Yulman Stadium

Southern Miss
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-20.7
National rank
128
Proj. wins
4.8
Playoff prob.
0%
Tulane
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-4.3
National rank
86
Proj. wins
7.4
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Southern Miss
6%
Tulane
94%
Tulane 90% CI: 91% – 96% Δ rating 16.4

Tulane is the model's favorite at 94%. Southern Miss has a 6% path. Home-field adjustment of +5.3 rating points baked in for Tulane — venue-specific learned value (n=56 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Southern Miss offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Tulane offense
37 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Yulman Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
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