2026 Week 7 · Conference game
East Carolina at UAB
Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Protective Stadium
East Carolina
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -2.3
- National rank
- 79
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 1%
UAB
American Athletic
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.5
- National rank
- 124
- Proj. wins
- 3.4
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
East Carolina
79%
UAB
21%
UAB 90% CI: 16% – 28% Δ rating 15.2
East Carolina is the model's favorite at 79%. UAB has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.8 rating points baked in for UAB — venue-specific learned value (n=22 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
East Carolina offense
46 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
UAB offense
36 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Thursday, October 15, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Protective Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No