Conference game
South Florida at East Carolina
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 7:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
South Florida 50% Favorite
East Carolina 50% Underdog
South Florida is the model's favorite at 50%. East Carolina has a 50% path. Home-field adjustment of +6.2 rating points baked in for East Carolina — venue-specific night-game value (n=49 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
South Florida offense
Higher fit 35 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
East Carolina offense
34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup