Conference game
Tulane at South Florida
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 12:00 AM EST
GIE win probability
Tulane 18% Underdog
South Florida 82% Favorite
South Florida is the model's favorite at 82%. Tulane has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.5 rating points baked in for South Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Tulane offense
34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
South Florida offense
Higher fit 36 / 100 Style-neutral matchup