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2026 Week 13 · Conference game

Tulane at South Florida

Friday, November 27, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Raymond James Stadium

Tulane
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-4.3
National rank
86
Proj. wins
7.4
Playoff prob.
0%
South Florida
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-1.7
National rank
74
Proj. wins
8.9
Playoff prob.
9%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Tulane
37%
South Florida
63%
South Florida 90% CI: 54% – 71% Δ rating 2.6

South Florida is the model's favorite at 63%. Tulane has a 37% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.7 rating points baked in for South Florida — venue-specific learned value (n=49 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Tulane offense
34 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

South Florida offense
36 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Friday, November 27, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Raymond James Stadium
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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