Conference game Neutral site

Navy vs. Army

Saturday, December 12, 2026 · 3:00 PM EST

GIE win probability

Navy 42% Underdog

Army 58% Favorite

Army 90% CI: 49–67%
Δ rating: Army +2.6

Army is the model's favorite at 58%. Navy has a 42% path. No home-field adjustment applied (neutral site).

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Team comparison

Navy and Army compared
Measure	Navy American Athletic	Army American Athletic
Record	2-6	5-3
Rating	−1.6	1.0
National rank	80	66
Proj. wins	3.8	7.8
Playoff prob.	0%	0%

Game info

Venue: MetLife Stadium
Conference game: Yes
Neutral site: Yes

Weather at kickoff

Forecast for neutral-site venues will arrive once the venues table ships (#53).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Navy offense Higher fit 31 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Army offense 27 / 100 Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup