2026 Week 1 · Conference game
UNLV at Hawai'i
Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
UNLV
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- 3.6
- National rank
- 55
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Hawai'i
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-1
- Rating
- -2.6
- National rank
- 83
- Proj. wins
- 6.8
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
UNLV
56%
Hawai'i
44%
Hawai'i 90% CI: 35% – 53% Δ rating 6.2
UNLV is the model's favorite at 56%. Hawai'i has a 44% path. Home-field adjustment of +4.3 rating points baked in for Hawai'i — venue-specific learned value (n=26 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
UNLV offense
38 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Hawai'i offense
44 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Conditions
Overcast
Temperature
77°F
Precipitation
24%
Wind
9 mph
Game info
- Kickoff
- Sunday, September 6, 2026 · 2:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No