2026 Week 4
Northern Illinois at Georgia State
Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Center Parc Stadium
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.2
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Georgia State
Sun Belt
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -29.3
- National rank
- 137
- Proj. wins
- 2.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Northern Illinois
79%
Georgia State
21%
Georgia State 90% CI: 15% – 27% Δ rating 12.1
Northern Illinois is the model's favorite at 79%. Georgia State has a 21% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for Georgia State — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Northern Illinois offense
39 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Georgia State offense
37 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, September 26, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
- Venue
- Center Parc Stadium
- Conference game
- No
- Neutral site
- No