2026 Week 5 · Conference game
Wyoming at North Dakota State
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
Fargodome
Wyoming
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -10.8
- National rank
- 103
- Proj. wins
- 4.9
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
North Dakota State
Mountain West
- Record
- 1-0
- Rating
- -1.8
- National rank
- 75
- Proj. wins
- 8.0
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Wyoming
19%
North Dakota State
81%
North Dakota State 90% CI: 74% – 86% Δ rating 9.0
North Dakota State is the model's favorite at 81%. Wyoming has a 19% path. League-prior home-field adjustment of +2.5 rating points baked in for North Dakota State.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Wyoming offense
27 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
North Dakota State offense
33 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 7:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Fargodome
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No