2026 Week 6 · Conference game
Air Force at Northern Illinois
Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
Huskie Stadium
Air Force
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -3.2
- National rank
- 84
- Proj. wins
- 6.5
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
Northern Illinois
Mountain West
- Record
- 0-0
- Rating
- -17.2
- National rank
- 123
- Proj. wins
- 3.7
- Playoff prob.
- 0%
GIE win probability
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Air Force
82%
Northern Illinois
18%
Northern Illinois 90% CI: 13% – 24% Δ rating 14.0
Air Force is the model's favorite at 82%. Northern Illinois has a 18% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.6 rating points baked in for Northern Illinois — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Air Force offense
31 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Northern Illinois offense
45 / 100
Style-neutral matchup
Weather at kickoff
Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.
Game info
- Kickoff
- Saturday, October 10, 2026 · 11:30 PM UTC
- Venue
- Huskie Stadium
- Conference game
- Yes
- Neutral site
- No