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2026 Week 10 · Conference game

Hawai'i at UTEP

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC

Sun Bowl

Hawai'i
Mountain West
Record
0-1
Rating
-2.6
National rank
83
Proj. wins
6.8
Playoff prob.
0%
UTEP
Mountain West
Record
0-0
Rating
-19.3
National rank
127
Proj. wins
3.7
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Hawai'i
87%
UTEP
13%
UTEP 90% CI: 9% – 17% Δ rating 16.7

Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 87%. UTEP has a 13% path. Home-field adjustment of +1.3 rating points baked in for UTEP — venue-specific learned value (n=47 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Hawai'i offense
38 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

UTEP offense
39 / 100

Style-neutral matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 5:00 AM UTC
Venue
Sun Bowl
Conference game
Yes
Neutral site
No
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