Conference game
Hawai'i at UTEP
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:30 PM EST
GIE win probability
Hawai'i 86% Favorite
UTEP 14% Underdog
Hawai'i is the model's favorite at 86%. UTEP has a 14% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.6 rating points baked in for UTEP — venue-specific night-game value (n=44 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Hawai'i offense
38 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
UTEP offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup