Conference game
Miami (OH) at Kent State
Tuesday, November 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM EST
GIE win probability
Miami (OH) 89% Favorite
Kent State 11% Underdog
Miami (OH) is the model's favorite at 89%. Kent State has a 11% path. Home-field adjustment of +0.7 rating points baked in for Kent State — venue-specific night-game value (n=37 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.
Style fit
How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.
Miami (OH) offense
Higher fit 39 / 100 Style-neutral matchup
Kent State offense
34 / 100 Style-neutral matchup