4thand4cast 🏈

Search the site.

Try , , or .

Powered by Pagefind

2026 Week 5

Army at Louisiana Tech

Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC

Joe Aillet Stadium

Army
American Athletic
Record
0-0
Rating
-2.4
National rank
81
Proj. wins
6.2
Playoff prob.
0%
Louisiana Tech
Sun Belt
Record
0-0
Rating
-9.1
National rank
99
Proj. wins
6.7
Playoff prob.
0%

GIE win probability

Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.

Army
60%
Louisiana Tech
40%
Louisiana Tech 90% CI: 31% – 49% Δ rating 6.7

Army is the model's favorite at 60%. Louisiana Tech has a 40% path. Home-field adjustment of +3.4 rating points baked in for Louisiana Tech — venue-specific learned value (n=46 games).

Style fit

How each offense matches up against the opposite defense. Higher = the offense is expected to do well; mismatches show up here.

Army offense
28 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Louisiana Tech offense
34 / 100

Run offense vs. elite run defense — bad matchup

Weather at kickoff

Forecast not yet available — Open-Meteo provides a 16-day window. Check back closer to kickoff.

Game info

Kickoff
Saturday, October 3, 2026 · 4:00 AM UTC
Venue
Joe Aillet Stadium
Conference game
No
Neutral site
No
Share

← Home