Conference game
Arkansas State at Southern Miss
Saturday, October 17, 2026 · 7:00 PM EDT
Final score
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arkansas State Winner | 6 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 23 |
 Southern Miss | 0 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 13 |
GIE pre-game call: Arkansas State at 77%. Hit
Pre-game
GIE win probability
Arkansas State 77% Favorite
Southern Miss 23% Underdog
Arkansas State is the model's favorite at 77%. Southern Miss has a 23% path. Home-field adjustment of +-0.7 rating points baked in for Southern Miss — venue-specific night-game value (n=48 games).
Headline numbers below. The 90% confidence band reflects rating uncertainty (±1.5 points per side); the model isn't claiming precision down to the percentage point.